Drought Statement No. 3
500 PM EDT Wed. Oct. 10, 2012

In the West:Moderate drought conditions improved across Colorado. Further south, no changes were observed in the Southwest. Abnormal dryness was expanded across western portions of Oregon.

The Plains:A stalled front and a wave of low pressure beneficial, widespread rains to the southern Plains. Many locations in Texas and in the southern half of Oklahoma received heavy precipitation (2 inches or greater). As a result, extensive 1-category upgrades were made to the regional drought depiction. Significant runoff occurred for the first time in over two years in west-central areas of Texas. In Oklahoma, 1-category improvements were made across much of the state, including portions of the Panhandle, while extreme drought conditions were expanded eastward across northern Oklahoma where little rain fell. Farther north in Kansas, a one-category downgrade from severe to extreme drought conditions was made across northeastern and north-central sections of the state due to lack of rain and surface water shortages. However, in eastern areas of Kansas, one-category improvements were rendered to the depiction due to recent rains and improved stream flows.

Further north, very dry weather continued to prevail across the northern Plains, prompting extensive downgrades across a large portion of North Dakota. Severe drought was expanded to include most of the eastern half of the state, and severe drought was also expanded eastward across the Canadian border counties as far east as Rolette County. In the heart of the state, abnormally dry conditions were downgraded to moderate drought. In South Dakota, exceptional drought was expanded throughout the southwestern portion of the state, and severe drought was expanded throughout the northwestern portion of the state in keeping with the prevailing dryness.

South and SoutheastEast-central Alabama, northern and western Georgia, western portions of both North and South Carolina, and Tennessee received in excess of 2 inches of rain, prompting 1-category improvements to some areas, especially across approximately the northwest half of Georgia. Some of these locations in north-central and northeastern Georgia received as much as 8 inches of rain.

Louisiana and Mississippi received in excess of 2 inches of rain in association with the low pressure area that developed over Texas, the only alteration made at this time was to remove the extreme drought conditions over northwestern Mississippi.

Short Term:

Below normal precipitation is forecast for the West coast. Above normal precipitation is forecast for portion of the Southwest, the gulf coast states and the East coast states. Above normal heights are forecast for the West, the central and northern Plains, the middle and upper Mississippi Valley, the Great Lakes region, the northern mid-Atlantic and the Northeast.

East:Most areas received light to moderate rain (up to 2 inches), with heavy rain (2 inches or greater) observed over northern and extreme southwestern Virginia, southwestern and south-central Pennsylvania, southern West Virginia, and parts of New England. Abnormally dry conditions were removed from West Virginia, and from Fayette County in southwestern Pennsylvania. One-category improvements were made in west-central and eastern New York, and in parts of northern Virginia. For the southern Delmarva Peninsula, Accomack, Somerset, and Worchester Counties were upgraded from moderate drought conditions to abnormally dry. In the Ohio Valley, heavy rain (2 inches or greater) fell over northern and eastern Ohio, southern Indiana, and much of Kentucky. Near to above normal stream flows contributed to 1-category upgrades across portions of the region. Louisville, Kentucky’s 5.83 inches of rain resulted in their 9th wettest September on record.

Little if any precipitation fell over Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Upper Michigan, northern Illinois and portions of northern Missouri. Widespread 1-category degradations were made in the region. Some of the more extensive changes involved expansion of moderate drought (D1) conditions across northern Minnesota, and much of north-central and northeastern Wisconsin.

Short Term

Near to below normal precipitation is forecast for most of the nation except for the Northwest where above normal precipitation is expected.

Long Term

Drought conditions are forecast to persist across most of the West. Some improvrmrnt is expected fr4om the Plains into the Ohio Valley.

*Note:This report was made from data compiled from the Drought Monitor Center, CDC and other resources.

Jim Munley jr.
http://www.jimmunleywx.com

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